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Ein Frankfurt vs Union Berlin

Fri 22 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 18 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ein Frankfurt win: 46.5%

Draw: 25.8%

Union Berlin win: 27.7%

Predicted: Ein Frankfurt

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 64.9%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 64.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.8

More corners: Ein Frankfurt (59.2% home / 40.8% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ein Frankfurt

Yes

Probability Ein Frankfurt wins or draws: 64.7%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Ein Frankfurt Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 28%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (65.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (65.0% model probability) High

Corners Ein Frankfurt (more corners) (59.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ein Frankfurt win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (65.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.