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FC Koln vs Schalke 04

Fri 23 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Round 7 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

FC Koln win: 46.5%

Draw: 23.5%

Schalke 04 win: 29.9%

Predicted: FC Koln

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 57.0%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 56.4%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.86

More corners: FC Koln (55.8% home / 44.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: FC Koln

Yes

Probability FC Koln wins or draws: 62.0%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result FC Koln Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 30%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (57.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (56.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat FC Koln win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (62.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.