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RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04

Fri 05 Mar 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 25 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

RB Leipzig win: 61.8%

Draw: 19.5%

Schalke 04 win: 18.8%

Predicted: RB Leipzig

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 57.2%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 69.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.8

More corners: RB Leipzig (62.7% home / 37.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: RB Leipzig

Yes

Probability RB Leipzig wins or draws: 74.6%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result RB Leipzig Clearest lean of the available outcomes (62% vs next-best 20%). (62.0% model probability) High

Both Teams to Score Yes (57.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (69.0% model probability) High

Corners RB Leipzig (more corners) (63.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat RB Leipzig win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (75.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.