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Stuttgart vs FC Koln

Fri 04 Sep 2026, 18:30 UTC · Round 2 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Stuttgart win: 53.1%

Draw: 23.2%

FC Koln win: 23.8%

Predicted: Stuttgart

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 60.7%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 63.3%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.52

More corners: Stuttgart (64.2% home / 35.8% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Stuttgart

Yes

Probability Stuttgart wins or draws: 70.6%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Stuttgart Clearest lean of the available outcomes (53% vs next-best 24%). (53.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (61.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (63.0% model probability) High

Corners Stuttgart (more corners) (64.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Stuttgart win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (71.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.