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Union Berlin vs Ein Frankfurt

Sat 29 Aug 2026, 13:30 UTC · Round 1 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Union Berlin win: 40.6%

Draw: 28.6%

Ein Frankfurt win: 30.8%

Predicted: Union Berlin

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 59.8%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 55.3%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.13

More corners: Ein Frankfurt (47.1% home / 52.9% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ein Frankfurt

Yes

Probability Ein Frankfurt wins or draws: 58.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Union Berlin Clearest lean of the available outcomes (41% vs next-best 31%). (41.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (60.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (55.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ein Frankfurt win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (58.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.