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Alaves vs Levante

Sat 08 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 35 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Alaves win: 41.6%

Draw: 31.4%

Levante win: 27.0%

Predicted: Alaves

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 65.5%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 51.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.34

More corners: Alaves (55.1% home / 44.9% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Levante

Yes

Probability Levante wins or draws: 64.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Alaves Clearest lean of the available outcomes (42% vs next-best 31%). (42.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (66.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Levante win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (64.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.