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Ath Bilbao vs Levante

Sat 23 Jan 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 21 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ath Bilbao win: 49.0%

Draw: 28.5%

Levante win: 22.6%

Predicted: Ath Bilbao

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 28.7%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 49.5%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.28

More corners: Ath Bilbao (56.4% home / 43.6% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ath Bilbao

Yes

Probability Ath Bilbao wins or draws: 73.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Ath Bilbao Clearest lean of the available outcomes (49% vs next-best 28%). (49.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score No (71.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ath Bilbao win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (74.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.