← Back to fixtures

Betis vs Ath Madrid

Sat 29 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 38 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Betis win: 35.9%

Draw: 29.7%

Ath Madrid win: 34.4%

Predicted: Betis

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 95.2%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 60.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.22

More corners: Betis (56.5% home / 43.5% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ath Madrid

Yes

Probability Ath Madrid wins or draws: 65.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (36.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (95.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (60.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ath Madrid win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (65.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.