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Betis vs Espanol

Sat 08 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 35 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Betis win: 59.4%

Draw: 24.7%

Espanol win: 15.9%

Predicted: Betis

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 76.7%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 59.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.77

More corners: Betis (58.6% home / 41.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Betis

Yes

Probability Betis wins or draws: 79.3%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Betis Clearest lean of the available outcomes (59% vs next-best 25%). (59.0% model probability) High
Both Teams to Score Yes (77.0% model probability) High
Total Goals Over 2.5 (60.0% model probability) High
Corners Betis (more corners) (59.0% model probability) High
Favorite Avoids Defeat Betis win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (79.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.