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Betis vs Getafe

Tue 15 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · Round 6 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Betis win: 56.6%

Draw: 29.0%

Getafe win: 14.4%

Predicted: Betis

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 30.2%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 48.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.41

More corners: Betis (58.9% home / 41.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Betis

Yes

Probability Betis wins or draws: 80.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Betis Clearest lean of the available outcomes (57% vs next-best 29%). (57.0% model probability) High

Both Teams to Score No (70.0% model probability) High

Corners Betis (more corners) (59.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Betis win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (80.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.