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Betis vs Villarreal

Sat 27 Feb 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 26 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Betis win: 38.8%

Draw: 30.5%

Villarreal win: 30.7%

Predicted: Betis

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 92.2%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 59.4%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.2

More corners: Betis (56.8% home / 43.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Villarreal

Yes

Probability Villarreal wins or draws: 65.6%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Betis Clearest lean of the available outcomes (39% vs next-best 31%). (39.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (92.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (59.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Villarreal win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (66.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.