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Elche vs Levante

Sat 06 Feb 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 23 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Elche win: 38.1%

Draw: 36.4%

Levante win: 25.5%

Predicted: Elche

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 87.6%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 49.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.02

More corners: Levante (49.8% home / 50.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Levante

Yes

Probability Levante wins or draws: 63.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (88.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Levante win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (63.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.