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Espanol vs Osasuna

Sat 20 Feb 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 25 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Espanol win: 42.1%

Draw: 33.1%

Osasuna win: 24.8%

Predicted: Espanol

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 88.7%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 49.1%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.52

More corners: Espanol (53.0% home / 47.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Osasuna

Yes

Probability Osasuna wins or draws: 59.1%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Espanol Clearest lean of the available outcomes (42% vs next-best 33%). (42.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (89.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Osasuna win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (59.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.