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Levante vs Alaves

Sat 12 Dec 2026, 13:00 UTC · Round 16 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Levante win: 43.4%

Draw: 33.4%

Alaves win: 23.2%

Predicted: Levante

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 75.0%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 51.3%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.87

More corners: Levante (55.6% home / 44.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Levante

Yes

Probability Levante wins or draws: 67.1%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Levante Clearest lean of the available outcomes (43% vs next-best 33%). (43.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (75.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Levante win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (67.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.