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Levante vs Espanol

Sat 16 Jan 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 20 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Levante win: 46.8%

Draw: 31.1%

Espanol win: 22.1%

Predicted: Levante

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 93.2%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.6%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.91

More corners: Levante (57.8% home / 42.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Levante

Yes

Probability Levante wins or draws: 74.0%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Levante Clearest lean of the available outcomes (47% vs next-best 31%). (47.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (93.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Levante win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (74.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.