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Levante vs Osasuna

Sat 20 Mar 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 29 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Levante win: 44.3%

Draw: 32.2%

Osasuna win: 23.5%

Predicted: Levante

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 52.3%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 52.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.68

More corners: Levante (53.9% home / 46.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Osasuna

Yes

Probability Osasuna wins or draws: 61.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Levante Clearest lean of the available outcomes (44% vs next-best 32%). (44.0% model probability) Low

Favorite Avoids Defeat Osasuna win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (62.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.