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Osasuna vs Betis

Sat 15 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 36 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Osasuna win: 29.8%

Draw: 32.0%

Betis win: 38.2%

Predicted: Betis

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 90.3%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 51.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.1

More corners: Osasuna (54.9% home / 45.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Betis

Yes

Probability Betis wins or draws: 66.3%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (90.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Betis win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (66.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.