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Osasuna vs Espanol

Sat 12 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · Round 5 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Osasuna win: 43.9%

Draw: 34.6%

Espanol win: 21.5%

Predicted: Osasuna

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 70.5%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 47.6%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.07

More corners: Osasuna (62.9% home / 37.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Osasuna

Yes

Probability Osasuna wins or draws: 73.6%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Osasuna Clearest lean of the available outcomes (44% vs next-best 35%). (44.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (70.0% model probability) High

Corners Osasuna (more corners) (63.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Osasuna win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (74.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.