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Sevilla vs Betis

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Round 13 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Sevilla win: 31.1%

Draw: 30.6%

Betis win: 38.4%

Predicted: Betis

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 54.0%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 46.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.35

More corners: Sevilla (56.1% home / 43.9% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Betis

Yes

Probability Betis wins or draws: 65.1%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Favorite Avoids Defeat Betis win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (65.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.