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Sevilla vs Espanol

Sat 13 Feb 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 24 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Sevilla win: 44.0%

Draw: 34.1%

Espanol win: 21.9%

Predicted: Sevilla

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 71.5%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 43.4%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.25

More corners: Sevilla (61.7% home / 38.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Espanol

Yes

Probability Espanol wins or draws: 58.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Sevilla Clearest lean of the available outcomes (44% vs next-best 34%). (44.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (72.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Under 2.5 (57.0% model probability) High

Corners Sevilla (more corners) (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Espanol win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (58.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.