← Back to fixtures

Sevilla vs Getafe

Sat 22 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 37 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Sevilla win: 37.9%

Draw: 41.2%

Getafe win: 21.0%

Predicted: Draw

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 66.1%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 33.7%

Corners

Expected total corners: 8.54

More corners: Sevilla (59.4% home / 40.6% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Getafe

Yes

Probability Getafe wins or draws: 58.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (41.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (66.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Under 2.5 (66.0% model probability) High

Corners Sevilla (more corners) (59.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Getafe win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (59.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.