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Sociedad vs Levante

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Round 10 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Sociedad win: 50.6%

Draw: 27.9%

Levante win: 21.5%

Predicted: Sociedad

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 91.0%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 52.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.45

More corners: Levante (48.6% home / 51.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Sociedad

Yes

Probability Sociedad wins or draws: 75.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Sociedad Clearest lean of the available outcomes (51% vs next-best 28%). (51.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (91.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Sociedad win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (76.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.