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Valencia vs Levante

Sat 06 Mar 2027, 13:00 UTC · Round 27 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Valencia win: 45.7%

Draw: 30.1%

Levante win: 24.2%

Predicted: Valencia

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 85.2%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.37

More corners: Valencia (60.2% home / 39.8% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Valencia

Yes

Probability Valencia wins or draws: 73.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Valencia Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 30%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (85.0% model probability) High

Corners Valencia (more corners) (60.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Valencia win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (73.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.