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Angers vs Brest

Fri 21 May 2027, 22:00 UTC · Round 33 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Angers win: 31.2%

Draw: 29.4%

Brest win: 39.3%

Predicted: Brest

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 48.4%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.32

More corners: Brest (45.2% home / 54.8% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Brest

Yes

Probability Brest wins or draws: 64.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Brest Clearest lean of the available outcomes (39% vs next-best 31%). (39.0% model probability) Low

Favorite Avoids Defeat Brest win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (65.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.