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Auxerre vs Angers

Sat 29 Aug 2026, 18:45 UTC · Round 2 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Auxerre win: 48.2%

Draw: 21.0%

Angers win: 30.8%

Predicted: Auxerre

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 47.2%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 45.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.54

More corners: Auxerre (59.6% home / 40.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Auxerre

Yes

Probability Auxerre wins or draws: 61.0%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Auxerre Clearest lean of the available outcomes (48% vs next-best 31%). (48.0% model probability) Medium

Corners Auxerre (more corners) (60.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Auxerre win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (61.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.