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Brest vs Angers

Fri 09 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Round 6 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Brest win: 49.7%

Draw: 21.7%

Angers win: 28.6%

Predicted: Brest

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 48.8%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.1%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.63

More corners: Brest (52.4% home / 47.6% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Brest

Yes

Probability Brest wins or draws: 61.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Brest Clearest lean of the available outcomes (50% vs next-best 29%). (50.0% model probability) Medium

Favorite Avoids Defeat Brest win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (62.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.