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Brest vs Auxerre

Fri 07 May 2027, 22:00 UTC · Round 31 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Brest win: 44.0%

Draw: 26.9%

Auxerre win: 29.1%

Predicted: Brest

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 55.6%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 50.7%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.51

More corners: Auxerre (48.9% home / 51.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Auxerre

Yes

Probability Auxerre wins or draws: 64.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Brest Clearest lean of the available outcomes (44% vs next-best 29%). (44.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (56.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Auxerre win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (65.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.