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Le Havre vs Angers

Fri 11 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC · Round 4 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Le Havre win: 46.0%

Draw: 22.4%

Angers win: 31.6%

Predicted: Le Havre

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 46.5%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 47.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.59

More corners: Le Havre (53.9% home / 46.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Le Havre

Yes

Probability Le Havre wins or draws: 55.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Le Havre Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 32%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Favorite Avoids Defeat Le Havre win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (56.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.