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Nice vs Angers

Fri 23 Apr 2027, 22:00 UTC · Round 29 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Nice win: 46.3%

Draw: 22.5%

Angers win: 31.2%

Predicted: Nice

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 49.6%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.67

More corners: Nice (58.0% home / 42.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Nice

Yes

Probability Nice wins or draws: 61.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Nice Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 31%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Corners Nice (more corners) (58.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Nice win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (61.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.