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Nice vs Brest

Fri 05 Feb 2027, 23:00 UTC · Round 19 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Nice win: 41.6%

Draw: 27.5%

Brest win: 30.9%

Predicted: Nice

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 55.7%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.64

More corners: Nice (53.7% home / 46.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Brest

Yes

Probability Brest wins or draws: 64.3%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Nice Clearest lean of the available outcomes (42% vs next-best 31%). (42.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (56.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Brest win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (64.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.