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Rennes vs Le Havre

Fri 07 May 2027, 22:00 UTC · Round 31 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Rennes win: 50.3%

Draw: 23.9%

Le Havre win: 25.8%

Predicted: Rennes

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 55.8%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 56.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.52

More corners: Rennes (56.8% home / 43.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Rennes

Yes

Probability Rennes wins or draws: 70.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Rennes Clearest lean of the available outcomes (50% vs next-best 26%). (50.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (56.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (56.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Rennes win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (70.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.