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NYA vs CHA

Win Probability

NYA win: 60.3%

CHA win: 39.7%

Predicted winner: NYA

Total Runs

8.8

Likely range: 7.3 – 10.3

NYA: 4.3 · CHA: 4.47

Total Hits

16.1

NYA: 8.28 · CHA: 7.82

Home Runs

2.65

NYA: 1.53 · CHA: 1.12

Strikeouts

17.7

NYA: 9.02 · CHA: 8.66

Form & Streak

NYA: 69-55 this season, lost 1 straight

CHA: 63-60 this season, won 1 straight

Elo Rating

NYA: 1543.9 · CHA: 1459.9

Head-to-Head

CHA 15 – 27 NYA (42 meetings)

Prediction Insights

NYA is favoured on team strength -- rated 84 Elo points higher than CHA based on results over the last several seasons.
NYA leads the head-to-head series 27-15 across their last 42 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.