NYA vs CHA
Win Probability
NYA win: 60.3%
CHA win: 39.7%
Predicted winner: NYA
Total Runs
8.8
Likely range: 7.3 – 10.3
NYA: 4.3 · CHA: 4.47
Total Hits
16.1
NYA: 8.28 · CHA: 7.82
Home Runs
2.65
NYA: 1.53 · CHA: 1.12
Strikeouts
17.7
NYA: 9.02 · CHA: 8.66
Form & Streak
NYA: 69-55 this season, lost 1 straight
CHA: 63-60 this season, won 1 straight
Elo Rating
NYA: 1543.9 · CHA: 1459.9
Head-to-Head
CHA 15 – 27 NYA (42 meetings)
Prediction Insights
NYA is favoured on team strength -- rated 84 Elo points higher than CHA based on results over the last several seasons.
NYA leads the head-to-head series 27-15 across their last 42 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.