← Back to fixtures

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox

Win Probability

New York Yankees win: 60.3%

Chicago White Sox win: 39.7%

Predicted winner: New York Yankees

Total Runs

8.8

Likely range: 7.3 – 10.3

New York Yankees: 4.3 · Chicago White Sox: 4.47

Total Hits

16.1

New York Yankees: 8.28 · Chicago White Sox: 7.82

Home Runs

2.65

New York Yankees: 1.53 · Chicago White Sox: 1.12

Strikeouts

17.7

New York Yankees: 9.02 · Chicago White Sox: 8.66

Form & Streak

New York Yankees: 69-55 this season, lost 1 straight

Chicago White Sox: 63-60 this season, won 1 straight

Elo Rating

New York Yankees: 1543.9 · Chicago White Sox: 1459.9

Head-to-Head

Chicago White Sox 15 – 27 New York Yankees (42 meetings)

Prediction Insights

NYA is favoured on team strength -- rated 84 Elo points higher than CHA based on results over the last several seasons.

NYA leads the head-to-head series 27-15 across their last 42 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.