DET vs CHN
Win Probability
DET win: 46.5%
CHN win: 53.5%
Predicted winner: CHN
Total Runs
9.0
Likely range: 7.5 – 10.5
DET: 4.46 · CHN: 4.56
Total Hits
16.0
DET: 7.8 · CHN: 8.25
Home Runs
2.51
DET: 1.21 · CHN: 1.3
Strikeouts
17.0
DET: 8.75 · CHN: 8.27
Form & Streak
DET: 55-66 this season, won 1 straight
CHN: 67-57 this season, lost 1 straight
Elo Rating
DET: 1492.8 · CHN: 1528.1
Head-to-Head
CHN 9 – 9 DET (18 meetings)
Prediction Insights
CHN is favoured on team strength -- rated 35 Elo points higher than DET based on results over the last several seasons.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.