BAL vs DET
Win Probability
BAL win: 44.7%
DET win: 55.3%
Predicted winner: DET
Total Runs
8.6
Likely range: 7.1 – 10.1
BAL: 4.19 · DET: 4.38
Total Hits
16.2
BAL: 7.9 · DET: 8.28
Home Runs
2.4
BAL: 1.19 · DET: 1.21
Strikeouts
17.9
BAL: 8.95 · DET: 8.98
Form & Streak
BAL: 59-64 this season, lost 1 straight
DET: 55-66 this season, won 1 straight
Elo Rating
BAL: 1503.4 · DET: 1492.8
Head-to-Head
DET 25 – 18 BAL (43 meetings)
Prediction Insights
DET leads the head-to-head series 25-18 across their last 43 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.