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Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

Win Probability

Baltimore Orioles win: 44.7%

Detroit Tigers win: 55.3%

Predicted winner: Detroit Tigers

Total Runs

8.6

Likely range: 7.1 – 10.1

Baltimore Orioles: 4.19 · Detroit Tigers: 4.38

Total Hits

16.2

Baltimore Orioles: 7.9 · Detroit Tigers: 8.28

Home Runs

2.4

Baltimore Orioles: 1.19 · Detroit Tigers: 1.21

Strikeouts

17.9

Baltimore Orioles: 8.95 · Detroit Tigers: 8.98

Form & Streak

Baltimore Orioles: 59-64 this season, lost 1 straight

Detroit Tigers: 55-66 this season, won 1 straight

Elo Rating

Baltimore Orioles: 1503.4 · Detroit Tigers: 1492.8

Head-to-Head

Detroit Tigers 25 – 18 Baltimore Orioles (43 meetings)

Prediction Insights

DET leads the head-to-head series 25-18 across their last 43 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.