← Back to fixtures

SEA vs LAN

Win Probability

SEA win: 33.3%

LAN win: 66.7%

Predicted winner: LAN

Total Runs

Over 8.5

Model confidence: 52.7%

SEA: Over 3.5 (68.8%) · LAN: Over 4.5 (52.5%)

Total Hits

15.8

SEA: 7.69 · LAN: 8.14

Home Runs

2.6

SEA: 1.23 · LAN: 1.37

Strikeouts

18.4

SEA: 9.52 · LAN: 8.84

Form & Streak

SEA: 59-67 this season, lost 3 straight

LAN: 80-46 this season, won 3 straight

Elo Rating

SEA: 1503.1 · LAN: 1577.1

Head-to-Head

LAN 16 – 2 SEA (18 meetings)

Prediction Insights

LAN is favoured on team strength -- rated 74 Elo points higher than SEA based on results over the last several seasons.
LAN leads the head-to-head series 16-2 across their last 18 meetings.
LAN is on form, having won 3 straight.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.