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PHI vs MIA

Win Probability

PHI win: 54.7%

MIA win: 45.3%

Predicted winner: PHI

Total Runs

8.9

Likely range: 7.4 – 10.4

PHI: 4.43 · MIA: 4.47

Total Hits

17.0

PHI: 8.62 · MIA: 8.4

Home Runs

2.5

PHI: 1.45 · MIA: 1.05

Strikeouts

16.6

PHI: 8.46 · MIA: 8.14

Form & Streak

PHI: 63-60 this season, lost 2 straight

MIA: 60-62 this season, lost 9 straight

Elo Rating

PHI: 1537.9 · MIA: 1492.4

Head-to-Head

MIA 53 – 60 PHI (113 meetings)

Prediction Insights

PHI is favoured on team strength -- rated 46 Elo points higher than MIA based on results over the last several seasons.
PHI leads the head-to-head series 60-53 across their last 113 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.