PHI vs MIA
Win Probability
PHI win: 54.7%
MIA win: 45.3%
Predicted winner: PHI
Total Runs
8.9
Likely range: 7.4 – 10.4
PHI: 4.43 · MIA: 4.47
Total Hits
17.0
PHI: 8.62 · MIA: 8.4
Home Runs
2.5
PHI: 1.45 · MIA: 1.05
Strikeouts
16.6
PHI: 8.46 · MIA: 8.14
Form & Streak
PHI: 63-60 this season, lost 2 straight
MIA: 60-62 this season, lost 9 straight
Elo Rating
PHI: 1537.9 · MIA: 1492.4
Head-to-Head
MIA 53 – 60 PHI (113 meetings)
Prediction Insights
PHI is favoured on team strength -- rated 46 Elo points higher than MIA based on results over the last several seasons.
PHI leads the head-to-head series 60-53 across their last 113 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.