SDN vs MIA
Win Probability
SDN win: 54.5%
MIA win: 45.5%
Predicted winner: SDN
Total Runs
9.0
Likely range: 7.5 – 10.5
SDN: 4.39 · MIA: 4.56
Total Hits
16.5
SDN: 8.5 · MIA: 7.96
Home Runs
2.32
SDN: 1.23 · MIA: 1.09
Strikeouts
16.1
SDN: 7.81 · MIA: 8.26
Form & Streak
SDN: 61-63 this season, lost 1 straight
MIA: 60-62 this season, lost 9 straight
Elo Rating
SDN: 1516.7 · MIA: 1492.4
Head-to-Head
MIA 17 – 21 SDN (38 meetings)
Prediction Insights
SDN is favoured on team strength -- rated 24 Elo points higher than MIA based on results over the last several seasons.
SDN leads the head-to-head series 21-17 across their last 38 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.