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SDN vs MIA

Win Probability

SDN win: 54.5%

MIA win: 45.5%

Predicted winner: SDN

Total Runs

9.0

Likely range: 7.5 – 10.5

SDN: 4.39 · MIA: 4.56

Total Hits

16.5

SDN: 8.5 · MIA: 7.96

Home Runs

2.32

SDN: 1.23 · MIA: 1.09

Strikeouts

16.1

SDN: 7.81 · MIA: 8.26

Form & Streak

SDN: 61-63 this season, lost 1 straight

MIA: 60-62 this season, lost 9 straight

Elo Rating

SDN: 1516.7 · MIA: 1492.4

Head-to-Head

MIA 17 – 21 SDN (38 meetings)

Prediction Insights

SDN is favoured on team strength -- rated 24 Elo points higher than MIA based on results over the last several seasons.
SDN leads the head-to-head series 21-17 across their last 38 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.