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Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees

Win Probability

Pittsburgh Pirates win: 41.3%

New York Yankees win: 58.7%

Predicted winner: New York Yankees

Total Runs

9.3

Likely range: 7.8 – 10.8

Pittsburgh Pirates: 4.68 · New York Yankees: 4.61

Total Hits

15.8

Pittsburgh Pirates: 7.71 · New York Yankees: 8.05

Home Runs

2.28

Pittsburgh Pirates: 0.92 · New York Yankees: 1.36

Strikeouts

18.0

Pittsburgh Pirates: 8.88 · New York Yankees: 9.07

Form & Streak

Pittsburgh Pirates: 63-61 this season, won 1 straight

New York Yankees: 69-55 this season, lost 1 straight

Elo Rating

Pittsburgh Pirates: 1493.0 · New York Yankees: 1543.9

Head-to-Head

New York Yankees 10 – 7 Pittsburgh Pirates (17 meetings)

Prediction Insights

NYA is favoured on team strength -- rated 51 Elo points higher than PIT based on results over the last several seasons.

NYA leads the head-to-head series 10-7 across their last 17 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.