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Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

Win Probability

Los Angeles Dodgers win: 61.7%

New York Mets win: 38.3%

Predicted winner: Los Angeles Dodgers

Total Runs

9.1

Likely range: 7.6 – 10.6

Los Angeles Dodgers: 5.01 · New York Mets: 4.13

Total Hits

16.3

Los Angeles Dodgers: 8.48 · New York Mets: 7.84

Home Runs

2.47

Los Angeles Dodgers: 1.27 · New York Mets: 1.2

Strikeouts

17.7

Los Angeles Dodgers: 8.41 · New York Mets: 9.26

Form & Streak

Los Angeles Dodgers: 79-46 this season, won 2 straight

New York Mets: 51-71 this season, lost 1 straight

Elo Rating

Los Angeles Dodgers: 1575.5 · New York Mets: 1479.1

Head-to-Head

New York Mets 16 – 27 Los Angeles Dodgers (43 meetings)

Prediction Insights

LAN is favoured on team strength -- rated 96 Elo points higher than NYN based on results over the last several seasons.
LAN leads the head-to-head series 27-16 across their last 43 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.