MIA vs NYN
Win Probability
MIA win: 43.4%
NYN win: 56.6%
Predicted winner: NYN
Total Runs
Over 8.5
Model confidence: 60.5%
MIA: Over 4.5 (54.3%) · NYN: Over 3.5 (75.2%)
Total Hits
17.0
MIA: 8.57 · NYN: 8.48
Home Runs
2.42
MIA: 0.98 · NYN: 1.44
Strikeouts
16.3
MIA: 7.94 · NYN: 8.39
Form & Streak
MIA: 60-63 this season, lost 10 straight
NYN: 51-72 this season, lost 2 straight
Elo Rating
MIA: 1490.4 · NYN: 1477.4
Head-to-Head
NYN 68 – 49 MIA (117 meetings)
Prediction Insights
NYN leads the head-to-head series 68-49 across their last 117 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.