LAN vs PHI
Win Probability
LAN win: 53.0%
PHI win: 47.0%
Predicted winner: LAN
Total Runs
9.1
Likely range: 7.6 – 10.6
LAN: 4.83 · PHI: 4.28
Total Hits
16.3
LAN: 8.32 · PHI: 7.98
Home Runs
2.54
LAN: 1.34 · PHI: 1.2
Strikeouts
17.9
LAN: 8.6 · PHI: 9.34
Form & Streak
LAN: 79-46 this season, won 2 straight
PHI: 63-60 this season, lost 2 straight
Elo Rating
LAN: 1575.5 · PHI: 1537.9
Head-to-Head
PHI 21 – 23 LAN (44 meetings)
Prediction Insights
LAN is favoured on team strength -- rated 38 Elo points higher than PHI based on results over the last several seasons.
LAN leads the head-to-head series 23-21 across their last 44 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.