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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Win Probability

Los Angeles Dodgers win: 53.0%

Philadelphia Phillies win: 47.0%

Predicted winner: Los Angeles Dodgers

Total Runs

9.1

Likely range: 7.6 – 10.6

Los Angeles Dodgers: 4.83 · Philadelphia Phillies: 4.28

Total Hits

16.3

Los Angeles Dodgers: 8.32 · Philadelphia Phillies: 7.98

Home Runs

2.54

Los Angeles Dodgers: 1.34 · Philadelphia Phillies: 1.2

Strikeouts

17.9

Los Angeles Dodgers: 8.6 · Philadelphia Phillies: 9.34

Form & Streak

Los Angeles Dodgers: 79-46 this season, won 2 straight

Philadelphia Phillies: 63-60 this season, lost 2 straight

Elo Rating

Los Angeles Dodgers: 1575.5 · Philadelphia Phillies: 1537.9

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Phillies 21 – 23 Los Angeles Dodgers (44 meetings)

Prediction Insights

LAN is favoured on team strength -- rated 38 Elo points higher than PHI based on results over the last several seasons.

LAN leads the head-to-head series 23-21 across their last 44 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.