NYA vs PHI
Win Probability
NYA win: 54.7%
PHI win: 45.3%
Predicted winner: NYA
Total Runs
8.8
Likely range: 7.3 – 10.3
NYA: 4.47 · PHI: 4.3
Total Hits
16.6
NYA: 8.29 · PHI: 8.29
Home Runs
2.76
NYA: 1.46 · PHI: 1.3
Strikeouts
17.9
NYA: 9.14 · PHI: 8.76
Form & Streak
NYA: 69-55 this season, lost 1 straight
PHI: 63-60 this season, lost 2 straight
Elo Rating
NYA: 1543.9 · PHI: 1537.9
Head-to-Head
PHI 8 – 13 NYA (21 meetings)
Prediction Insights
NYA leads the head-to-head series 13-8 across their last 21 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.