New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies
Win Probability
New York Yankees win: 54.7%
Philadelphia Phillies win: 45.3%
Predicted winner: New York Yankees
Total Runs
8.8
Likely range: 7.3 – 10.3
New York Yankees: 4.47 · Philadelphia Phillies: 4.3
Total Hits
16.6
New York Yankees: 8.29 · Philadelphia Phillies: 8.29
Home Runs
2.76
New York Yankees: 1.46 · Philadelphia Phillies: 1.3
Strikeouts
17.9
New York Yankees: 9.14 · Philadelphia Phillies: 8.76
Form & Streak
New York Yankees: 69-55 this season, lost 1 straight
Philadelphia Phillies: 63-60 this season, lost 2 straight
Elo Rating
New York Yankees: 1543.9 · Philadelphia Phillies: 1537.9
Head-to-Head
Philadelphia Phillies 8 – 13 New York Yankees (21 meetings)
Prediction Insights
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.