SFN vs SDN
Win Probability
SFN win: 44.4%
SDN win: 55.6%
Predicted winner: SDN
Total Runs
Over 8.5
Model confidence: 65.5%
SFN: Over 4.5 (51.8%) · SDN: Over 4.5 (51.8%)
Total Hits
16.2
SFN: 7.6 · SDN: 8.65
Home Runs
2.22
SFN: 1.21 · SDN: 1.01
Strikeouts
16.7
SFN: 8.85 · SDN: 7.85
Form & Streak
SFN: 58-68 this season, won 2 straight
SDN: 63-64 this season, won 2 straight
Elo Rating
SFN: 1480.6 · SDN: 1519.0
Head-to-Head
SDN 67 – 47 SFN (114 meetings)
Prediction Insights
SDN is favoured on team strength -- rated 38 Elo points higher than SFN based on results over the last several seasons.
SDN leads the head-to-head series 67-47 across their last 114 meetings.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.