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Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals

Win Probability

Arizona Diamondbacks win: 45.5%

St. Louis Cardinals win: 54.5%

Predicted winner: St. Louis Cardinals

Total Runs

8.9

Likely range: 7.4 – 10.4

Arizona Diamondbacks: 4.5 · St. Louis Cardinals: 4.38

Total Hits

17.1

Arizona Diamondbacks: 8.82 · St. Louis Cardinals: 8.29

Home Runs

2.21

Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.2 · St. Louis Cardinals: 1.01

Strikeouts

16.3

Arizona Diamondbacks: 8.09 · St. Louis Cardinals: 8.19

Form & Streak

Arizona Diamondbacks: 63-61 this season, won 2 straight

St. Louis Cardinals: 64-57 this season, won 1 straight

Elo Rating

Arizona Diamondbacks: 1508.7 · St. Louis Cardinals: 1507.4

Head-to-Head

St. Louis Cardinals 25 – 19 Arizona Diamondbacks (44 meetings)

Prediction Insights

SLN leads the head-to-head series 25-19 across their last 44 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.