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Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Win Probability

Chicago Cubs win: 48.0%

St. Louis Cardinals win: 52.0%

Predicted winner: St. Louis Cardinals

Total Runs

9.2

Likely range: 7.7 – 10.7

Chicago Cubs: 4.8 · St. Louis Cardinals: 4.37

Total Hits

16.4

Chicago Cubs: 8.66 · St. Louis Cardinals: 7.72

Home Runs

2.35

Chicago Cubs: 1.28 · St. Louis Cardinals: 1.07

Strikeouts

16.4

Chicago Cubs: 7.92 · St. Louis Cardinals: 8.43

Form & Streak

Chicago Cubs: 67-57 this season, lost 1 straight

St. Louis Cardinals: 64-57 this season, won 1 straight

Elo Rating

Chicago Cubs: 1528.1 · St. Louis Cardinals: 1507.4

Head-to-Head

St. Louis Cardinals 59 – 53 Chicago Cubs (112 meetings)

Prediction Insights

SLN is favoured on team strength -- rated 21 Elo points higher than CHN based on results over the last several seasons.

SLN leads the head-to-head series 59-53 across their last 112 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- MLB has very high inherent variance (even a 100-win team loses ~35% of its games), and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/educational use only; this is not betting advice.