WSH vs BAL
Match Context
WSH come into this game at 3-10, on a 1-game losing streak. BAL sit at 8-4, on a 1-game winning streak.
BAL carry a 1529.6 Elo rating to WSH's 1439.1, a gap of 90.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with BAL winning 1 to WSH's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
WSH win: 29.3%
BAL win: 70.7%
Predicted winner: BAL
Total Points
Under 47.5
Model confidence: 50.6%
WSH: Under 19.5 (50.4%) · BAL: Over 27.5 (51.5%)
Spread
BAL -6
Model confidence: 57.3%
Home line: BAL -6.0
Form & Streak
WSH: 3-10 this sample, lost 1 straight
BAL: 8-4 this sample, won 1 straight
Elo Rating
WSH: 1439.1 · BAL: 1529.6
Head-to-Head
BAL 1 – 0 WSH (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
BAL is favoured on team strength — rated 90 Elo points higher than WSH from recent completed games.
Model spread: BAL -6 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.